Flare X 1.95 from 18 января 2026 года, 18:09 UTC in the active region 4341.
2026's First Major Solar Flare: Massive X-Class Storm Tracking Toward Earth
Author: Uliana S.
On January 18, 2026, at precisely 18:09 UTC, the Sun unleashed a powerful burst of energy directly toward our planet, marking a significant start to the year's solar activity. This event originated from active region 4341, which was situated at the very center of the visible solar disk at the time of the eruption. It represents the first X-class flare—the highest category of solar flares—recorded in 2026, reaching a peak intensity of X1.95. This explosion stands as the most significant solar event since November 14 of the previous year, signaling an intensification of the current solar cycle.
The full halo of a coronal mass ejection emanating from the Sun, with Mercury, Venus, and Mars brightly shining in the background.
This massive eruption was not a random or isolated occurrence. The same active region had already demonstrated its volatile nature earlier in January by producing two intense flares while it was still positioned on the far side of the star. Now that the region has rotated to face Earth directly, it has revealed its full potential for high-energy output. Space-based observatories, including the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), captured images of a massive magnetic structure spanning approximately 450,000 kilometers—a distance equivalent to 35 times the diameter of the Earth. The resulting blast caused widespread structural disruption on the solar surface, ejecting two enormous solar prominences into the surrounding space near the epicenter.
Preliminary model for X1.9 CME
Scientific analysis based on the latest data from advanced coronagraphs, specifically the GOES/CCOR-1 instruments, has led to a definitive conclusion: a colossal coronal mass ejection (CME) is currently traveling on a direct, frontal path toward Earth. The plasma cloud's initial velocity was clocked at a staggering 2,000 kilometers per second, a record-breaking speed that highlights the extreme energy behind this specific eruption. While the cloud is expected to naturally decelerate as it traverses the vast vacuum of interplanetary space, current predictive models indicate it will collide with Earth's magnetosphere as early as January 20.
Flash X 1.95 as of 18 января 2026 года
Experts anticipate that this direct impact will trigger a significant geomagnetic storm, likely reaching G3 (strong) or even G4 (very strong) levels on the space weather scales. Such disturbances are known to interfere with the stability of terrestrial power grids, reduce the accuracy of global navigation satellite systems, and may require altitude or route adjustments for long-haul flights operating at high latitudes. Beyond these technical and infrastructure challenges, the storm is poised to provide a spectacular visual display for residents across the globe, as the solar energy interacts with our atmosphere.
During the night of January 20, the aurora borealis is expected to be visible at unusually low latitudes due to the intensity of the incoming plasma. The visibility boundary for these northern lights may drop as far south as the 50th parallel, offering a rare opportunity for people in major cities such as London, Paris, Prague, Vancouver, and Kyiv to witness the phenomenon. This event serves as the first major space weather event of 2026, acting as a vivid and powerful reminder of the profound, non-stop connection between our planet and the dynamic life of its parent star.
Sources
Лаборатория солнечной астрономии ИКИ и СОЭФ
