Austrian voters head to the polls on September 29, 2024, in a general election that could significantly alter the political landscape of the country for the next five years. The far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ) is currently leading in the polls with approximately 28% support, closely followed by the conservative Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) at nearly 25% and the center-left Social Democrats at just over 20%.
Key issues influencing voter sentiment include migration and security, with FPÖ lawmaker Herbert Kickl's campaign focusing on promises of strict immigration policies. However, even if the FPÖ wins the most votes, it does not guarantee Kickl will become chancellor, as Austrian President Alexander Van der Bellen has indicated he would not appoint him to the position.
Current Chancellor Karl Nehammer has ruled out forming a coalition with the FPÖ, although both parties share similar views on immigration. The election outcome may lead to a novel three-party alliance if the ÖVP seeks to partner with the Social Democrats and another party due to their falling out with the Greens.
The election's dynamics may have shifted following recent devastating floods that impacted Austria, allowing Nehammer to position himself as an effective crisis manager, potentially affecting FPÖ's support. With voter sentiment still in flux, the election results remain uncertain.