G2 Watch for 31 Mar UTC-day still stands. We evaluated the 29 Mar (EDT) CME and feel fairly certain most ejecta will pass behind Earth's orbit; although we do anticipate enough flanking effects to warrant the G2 Watch, with a chance for G3. Stay aware at spaceweather.gov
Solar Storm Alert: X1.4 Flare Triggers Geomagnetic Warnings as NASA Greenlights Artemis II Launch
Author: Uliana Soloveva
On the morning of Monday, March 30, 2026, at 03:19 UTC, the Sun unleashed a powerful X1.4-class solar flare from active region 4405. This eruption triggered R3-level radio blackouts on Earth's dayside. The primary concern, however, is the accompanying coronal mass ejection (CME)—a cloud of solar plasma and magnetic fields now traveling toward our planet. Following the flare, specialists at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) began using solar coronagraph data to chart the trajectory of this approaching phenomenon.
BREAKING 🚨: After today's briefing, NASA remains “GO” for Artemis II launch at 6:24 pm ET on Wednesday 🚀
After the NASA briefing, NASA still plans to launch the Artemis II mission on Wednesday at 18:24 Eastern Time.
By midday on March 30, the situation became clearer. At 15:13 UTC, NOAA issued a warning forecasting a G2-level geomagnetic storm for March 31. Initial calculations suggested a partial CME impact during the second half of the day. While a G2 storm is moderate rather than catastrophic, it is sufficient to produce noticeable effects. Scientists emphasized that the assessment is ongoing and the forecast may still evolve as more data becomes available.
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A coronal hole in the shape of a rabbit on the eve of Easter 2026.
At 21:09 UTC that evening, a critical update was released. After analyzing satellite imagery, SWPC experts determined that the bulk of the CME’s mass would pass behind Earth's orbit. Despite missing the core, the flank effects—the outer edges of the plasma cloud—remain strong enough to maintain the G2 alert. There is even a small chance the activity could reach G3 levels. Currently, geomagnetic conditions remain at a quiet G0 state with stable solar winds, though this is expected to change rapidly.
During the early hours of March 31, Earth had yet to feel the primary impact. Active region 4405 remains visible on the Sun, retaining potential for new events, though focus remains on the incoming CME. If the forecast holds, the magnetosphere will face moderate disturbances by the latter half of the day. Under G2 conditions, auroras are often visible at latitudes above 55 to 60 degrees. Additionally, these storms can cause brief disruptions to satellite navigation and radio communications, alongside minor fluctuations in high-latitude power grids.
Simultaneously, a historic milestone in space exploration is unfolding. At 22:12 UTC on March 30, NASA confirmed a GO status for the Artemis II mission. This represents the first crewed flight beyond low Earth orbit in over 50 years. The launch is scheduled for Wednesday, April 1, at 22:24 UTC (18:24 Eastern Time). Consequently, the arrival of the solar storm may partially overlap with the final preparations and the launch window itself.
While a G2 geomagnetic storm poses challenges like potential interference with radio links and GPS, these conditions are not typically critical for modern rocket launches. Nevertheless, such environmental factors require extra attention from engineering teams. As of now, NASA is proceeding with its original plans without changes, maintaining a close watch on the solar environment to ensure the safety of the crew and the integrity of the spacecraft's systems.
This sequence—from the initial flare to the refined CME forecast—is typical of space weather monitoring. As Solar Cycle 25 continues to intensify, each event provides vital data to improve future predictive models. While the world waits for the arrival of the solar flank, specialists continue their observation, noting that the next update could be issued at any moment as the situation develops.
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REPOST: An X1.4 flare was produced by Region 4405, peaking at 0319 UTC on 30 March and resulted in an R3 (Strong) Radio Blackout. An associated coronal mass ejection is seen in coronagraph imagery and analysis is currently ongoing. Visit spaceweather.gov to stay informed.
G3 (Strong) geomagnetic storming was observed during the 0900-1200 UTC synoptic period on 22 Mar as what is likely high speed stream onset began. Additional periods of G1-G2 storming are expected, along with possibly even another isolated period of G3 levels, in the coming hours.
G3 (Strong) geomagnetic storm conditions were observed at 20/2328 UTC. A warning for G3 or greater storming conditions is currently valid until 0600 UTC on 21 March. This geomagnetic activity is likely from the arrival of the CME that left the Sun on 18 March.
