Austria faces challenging coalition negotiations following the electoral victory of the right-wing Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ), which secured 29.2% of the votes in the National Council elections held on September 29, 2024. The conservative People's Party (ÖVP) followed with 26.5%, while the Social Democrats received 21.1%. This outcome has implications that extend beyond Austria's borders.
FPÖ leader Herbert Kickl has already indicated his ambition for the chancellorship, promoting a controversial agenda that includes building a 'fortress Austria' and halting asylum applications from specific countries, such as Afghanistan and Syria. The party's stance on immigration includes a contentious concept of 'remigration', which has been classified as extremist by Austria's constitutional protection report.
Public reactions to the election results vary, with some expressing approval due to dissatisfaction with the economic policies of traditional parties. However, forming a government will require Kickl to find a coalition partner, as the ÖVP has ruled out collaboration with the FPÖ, citing security concerns.
Austrian President Alexander van der Bellen is tasked with appointing the next chancellor and plans to engage in discussions with all parties to ensure respect for the foundational principles of Austria's liberal democracy, including the rule of law and EU membership. The FPÖ's previous coalition with the ÖVP in 2000 led to widespread outrage and sanctions from other EU nations, raising concerns about potential future relations.
Political analysts predict that the EU may face challenges as it encounters more governments that are increasingly skeptical of European integration. Kickl's potential leadership could hinder EU decision-making, particularly regarding support for Ukraine and sanctions against Russia, which he argues are detrimental to Austria.
Regardless of whether Kickl becomes chancellor, the FPÖ's strong presence will likely influence Austria's EU policy direction, which has already shifted towards a less pro-European stance under the ÖVP. The outcome of the coalition negotiations is poised to attract significant attention beyond Austria's borders.