Cosmic Halloween: Pumpkin-Shaped Coronal Hole Triggers Geomagnetic Storm Alert

Edited by: Uliana S.

Геомагнитная буря G1-G2 прогнозируется с 28 по 30 октября из-за высокоскоростного потока, связывающего Солнце и Землю с корональной дырой в форме тыквенного фонаря

The NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) captured striking imagery on October 28, 2025, revealing a solar feature that strongly resembles a Halloween pumpkin. This distinctive visual configuration, which has captivated the scientific community, is actually a colossal coronal hole. It is formed by the convergence of dark coronal holes and brighter, highly active regions on the Sun's surface. Crucially, this immense structure is now emitting a powerful stream of solar wind, composed of charged particles, directly toward Earth.

Space weather experts anticipate that this energetic flow of particles will intercept our planet on October 29, 2025. Current projections suggest this interaction could trigger a geomagnetic disturbance reaching levels G1 or G2. Specifically, forecasts for October 29 indicate a significant 70% probability of a magnetic storm occurring, while the likelihood of the magnetosphere remaining entirely stable is estimated at a mere five percent. The velocity of the incoming solar wind is expected to peak around 600 kilometers per second. Furthermore, the geomagnetic Kp index is projected to climb as high as five units, which corresponds to a weak G1 class storm. Institutions like NASA, which has maintained continuous monitoring of solar activity since 2010, are closely tracking the evolving situation.

The primary drivers behind this anticipated space weather event are identified as Coronal holes No. 91 and No. 92. This activity is notable despite the minimal solar flare activity observed in the days immediately preceding the event. Such phenomena are not unprecedented; the SDO previously documented a similar solar feature back in 2014. This recurrence underscores the cyclical nature of cosmic processes, particularly within the context of the 11-year solar activity cycle, which is currently projected to reach its peak intensity between 2024 and 2025.

The significance of these events for accurate space weather prediction is continuously analyzed by major research centers, including Russian scientific institutions such as the Laboratory of Solar Astronomy IKI RAS and the Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics SB RAS. While these forecasted storms require careful attention, they are generally considered moderate and do not align with the catastrophic scenarios sometimes modeled by organizations like the European Space Agency (ESA). Nevertheless, even moderate geomagnetic activity poses potential risks. The primary areas of concern include low-Earth orbit satellites, global communication systems, and terrestrial power grids, which can experience fluctuations due to induced currents.

For individuals who are sensitive to meteorological and cosmic fluctuations, often referred to as "weather-sensitive," specialists advise taking proactive measures during periods of heightened space weather activity. Recommendations focus on maintaining a balanced lifestyle: ensuring adequate, full sleep, significantly reducing the consumption of stimulants like caffeine and alcohol, and minimizing heavy professional or physical workloads. These steps are suggested to help harmonize the body's internal rhythms with the external cosmic environment during the disturbance.

Sources

  • ФОКУС

  • NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory

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