Earth Experiences Strong Geomagnetic Storm Exceeding Forecasts

Edited by: Uliana S.

On September 15, 2025, Earth was impacted by a significant G3-class geomagnetic storm, classified as 'strong,' which exceeded initial predictions from global scientific agencies. This powerful solar disturbance, originating from solar activity, has the potential to disrupt energy systems, cause satellite malfunctions, and interfere with navigation technologies. At higher latitudes, the storm also produced spectacular auroral displays.

The Laboratory of Solar Astronomy of the Institute of Space Research and the Institute of Solar-Earth Physics, both part of the Russian Academy of Sciences, reported that the storm's intensity was unexpected, surpassing the previously issued G1-class forecasts. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) had also issued a G3 warning, indicating the storm was driven by a coronal hole high-speed stream and potentially influenced by a coronal mass ejection (CME) from June 1-2. Solar wind speeds escalated significantly, reaching approximately 650 km/s, indicative of a corotating interaction region preceding the high-speed stream. Geomagnetic conditions peaked at G3 levels, leading to power grid fluctuations, satellite orientation irregularities, and degraded high-latitude radio propagation.

Geomagnetic storms are disruptions to Earth's magnetosphere triggered by solar phenomena such as solar flares and CMEs. These events eject vast quantities of charged particles that travel towards Earth, interacting with its magnetic field. The intensity of these storms is measured on the Kp scale, ranging from G1 (weak) to G5 (extreme). While the immediate impacts are primarily technological, research indicates potential effects on human well-being. Studies suggest a link between geomagnetic storms and cardiovascular health, with some research noting increased incidences of myocardial infarction and other cardiovascular events during these periods. These storms may influence the autonomic nervous system and disrupt circadian rhythms, potentially leading to increased hospital admissions for certain conditions. Specialists advise individuals sensitive to meteorological changes and those with cardiovascular issues to monitor their health and avoid strenuous activities.

For the upcoming days, the geomagnetic storm was expected to remain relatively calm on September 16, with an orange-level storm and a Kp index of 4, before stabilizing later in the month, though activity was predicted to remain above average. Precise forecasting of geomagnetic activity remains a challenge, with accuracy typically limited to 2-3 days in advance, and conditions can change rapidly. Advancements in prediction are being made, with researchers exploring methods to identify 'critical heights' in the Sun's active regions where magnetic fields become unstable, potentially allowing for earlier and more accurate warnings of CMEs. Furthermore, artificial intelligence is being integrated into space weather prediction, with initiatives using machine learning to analyze solar activity data and forecast disruptive events up to 24 hours in advance. These ongoing developments aim to enhance preparedness for the Sun's dynamic influence on Earth.

Sources

  • Аргументы и факты

  • 19rusinfo.ru

  • URA.RU

  • АиФ

Did you find an error or inaccuracy?

We will consider your comments as soon as possible.