If NOAA SWPC's CME model is correct, we may get hit by a pretty fast solar storm Thursday night.
Geomagnetic Storm Watch Remains for November 7 Following Potent Solar Ejections
Edited by: Tetiana Martynovska 17
The Earth is currently bracing for continued space weather impacts as scientists forecast conditions that could bring a severe geomagnetic storm on Friday, November 7, 2025. This activity stems from powerful plasma ejections, or coronal mass ejections (CMEs), that originated from the sun following significant solar flare activity over the preceding days. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) has maintained a G3 (Strong) geomagnetic storm watch for the November 6 and 7 UTC-days, following an earlier G3 storm that was in progress on November 6 UTC.
The initial storm activity, which briefly reached G3 levels due to a glancing CME arrival combined with a high-speed solar wind stream, surprised forecasters overnight. This event resulted in strong auroral activity visible across parts of Europe, Canada, and the northern United States. The current watch is in effect as Earth anticipates further impacts from multiple CMEs launched in quick succession, primarily from the active sunspot region AR4274.
The source of this heightened activity included two X-class solar flares—an X1.8 and an X1.1—recorded on November 4, 2025, along with a subsequent M7.4-class flare on November 5. While initial modeling suggested that the first two major CMEs were not directly Earth-directed, trailing material or subsequent events have a fair measure of confidence for an Earth-directed component, with arrival timing anticipated between Thursday evening and Friday morning EST. Confidence remains lower regarding the final intensity of the storm upon arrival.
These magnetic disturbances present tangible risks to interconnected infrastructure. Experts continue to anticipate potential strain on power grids, possible disruptions to the accuracy of satellite navigation systems, and interference across various radio communication channels. This ongoing period of solar weather serves as a crucial reminder of the dynamic forces interacting with our planet's magnetic shield.
For individuals sensitive to environmental shifts, proactive measures remain advisable. Given that peak activity is anticipated to continue overnight into Friday, minimizing engagement in stressful situations and consciously managing personal energy are recommended steps to support equilibrium. Historically, such intense geomagnetic storms, like the benchmark Carrington Event of 1859, underscore the vulnerability of electrical systems, even as modern infrastructure possesses greater resilience.
Sources
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