Asian Markets Mixed as Fed Rate Cut Speculation Intensifies

Edited by: Olga Sukhina

Asian stock markets displayed a mixed performance on Thursday, August 14, 2025, mirroring trends on Wall Street and influenced by ongoing speculation about potential interest rate adjustments by the U.S. Federal Reserve. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has advocated for a 50 basis point rate cut in September, a more aggressive stance than the 25 basis point reduction suggested by the CME FedWatch Tool, which currently indicates a 93.8% probability for a cut. The Australian market, represented by the S&P/ASX 200 Index, saw an increase of 0.80% to 8,897.80, buoyed by strong performances in the mining, energy, and financial sectors. National Australia Bank, ANZ Banking, and Westpac Banking Corp. all reported notable gains, with Westpac surging over 6% following positive earnings. This performance aligns with a broader trend of Australian bank and real estate stocks driving the S&P/ASX 200 upwards, supported by robust bank profits and expectations of further interest rate reductions.

In contrast, the Japanese market experienced a downturn, with the Nikkei 225 Index declining by 1.27% to 42,726.63, primarily due to weakness in technology and export-oriented stocks. SoftBank Group was a notable exception, posting a gain of over 3%. The Nikkei's performance reflects regional sensitivity to tariff discussions and interest rate expectations. Globally, market sentiment has been shaped by strong U.S. equity performance, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching record highs, partly attributed to a stable inflation report showing headline inflation at 2.7%. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a near-certainty of a September rate cut, with probabilities reaching 99.8%. The U.S. Treasury Secretary's call for a larger rate cut highlights the ongoing debate surrounding monetary policy shifts that could impact global financial markets.

Sources

  • RTTNews

  • Asia Stocks Mixed Following Wall Street's Performance

  • CME FedWatch Tool

  • U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent Calls for Larger Fed Rate Cut

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